It’s a tough time to be a sustainability expert in government or part of a social movement.

A survey by Trellis data partner GlobeScan, together with the ERM Institute and Volans, shows experts are increasingly critical of how key actors are performing in advancing sustainable development. Ratings have dropped most sharply for:

  • Social movements (down 21 percentage points)
  • NGOs (down 16 points)
  • Multi-sector partnerships (down 15 points)

National governments receive the lowest score overall, with only 5 percent of experts rating their contributions as excellent. The private sector also saw its lowest performance rating since tracking began in 2012, with just 14 percent of experts viewing its efforts positively. In contrast, academic and research institutions are gaining recognition, with half of experts rating their contributions positively.

What this means

These findings reflect a broader crisis of confidence in the institutions traditionally seen as drivers of sustainable development. As experts grow more critical of governments, NGOs, social movements and corporate actors, a clear message emerges: current approaches aren’t delivering the scale or speed of change needed to meet today’s environmental and social challenges.

The rise in credibility for academic and research institutions suggests a shift in expectations toward actors that are seen as less politicized, more evidence-driven and better equipped to develop innovative, systems-level solutions. 

Based on a survey of 844 sustainability practitioners across 72 countries globally conducted April-May 2025.

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Technologies to remove carbon from the atmosphere have progressed rapidly. Unfortunately, early-stage funding has not kept pace. 

In 2022, non-profit Terraset set out to close this gap using philanthropic dollars. It has since deployed several million dollars purchasing durable carbon removal from more than a dozen projects that typically aim to capture and store carbon for millennia. Its latest initiative is a revolving fund created to give other carbon removal buyers a pathway to support early-stage projects without taking on early-stage risk. 

Terraset launched its revolving fund in May with a seven-figure anchor grant from the Schmidt Family Foundation. Earlier this month, the non-profit announced the first round of pre-purchases from the fund. Once project developers deliver the verified credits to Terraset, the non-profit will resell to other buyers and return the sale proceeds to the fund to pay for new pre-purchases. 

Purchasing carbon removal from Terraset’s revolving fund is like moving money into an earlier stage of project development, where it can be more catalytic, says Adam Fraser, Terraset’s CEO. “Corporate buyers could look at this as a way of purchasing credits in the same way they might purchase via any platform or direct procurement … but we will plow that money back in to support earlier, riskier projects.” 

The power of pre-purchase

To stay on track with Paris-aligned climate outcomes, we’ll likely need to pull some 7 to 9 billion tons of carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere annually by mid-century, according to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Offtake agreements — commitments to purchase credits in the future — are one of the best tools for building the carbon removal industry, as they provide a strong demand signal to the market. But few offtakes include upfront payments. That leaves project developers scrambling for capital to build their facilities and expand operations to fulfill the offtake. 

But without a playbook for commercial operation of most carbon removal pathways, low-cost capital to cover early development remains scarce. It’s a chicken-and-egg problem: as more projects successfully make it to the finish line, and deliver verified carbon removal credits, investors will gain confidence and the cost of capital will come down. But until then, the lack of early-stage capital remains a major blocker to scale, according to an industry survey Terraset published earlier this year.

The cost curves of many removal pathways exacerbate the problem, as projects have high setup costs and take several years to produce verified carbon credits. 

Source: Terraset survey of carbon removal suppliers, 2025

Despite the need for early-stage funding, Terraset’s conversations with corporate buyers made clear that most aren’t ready to take on the risk of putting down money before credits are ready for delivery. 

In the revolving fund, philanthropic capital provides bridge funding for scaling early-stage projects, essentially moving corporate purchases earlier in the process without asking end-buyers to take on the early-stage pre-purchase risk. 

Project due diligence 

Carbon removal companies can apply to the fund via the Terraset website. Terraset conducts due diligence based on its quality rubric, and leans on the expertise of its carbon council advisory board and other external advisers to provide investment recommendations to management and the board.

The first purchases from the revolving fund come from five companies: Eion, CarbonRun, UNDO, Andes and Charm Industrial. The companies use a range of removal pathways, including enhanced rock weathering and bio-oil.  

“We’re capital-constrained,” said Fraser. “There are companies that have passed our due diligence with flying colors, but we just don’t have capital to purchase from them all.” 

Terraset expects credit deliveries from the revolving fund throughout 2026 and 2027. Then it will begin re-selling credits to corporate buyers looking to include durable carbon removal in their climate strategies and net zero roadmaps. 

Long-term plans 

Fraser isn’t sure what the fund’s long-term financial performance will be, and he’s open to a range of outcomes. If Terraset is able to re-sell the carbon credits at its pre-purchase price, that will create an evergreen fund the non-profit can deploy multiple times, increasing the number of catalytic prepayments it can provide. 

If Terraset is unable to recoup its upfront payments, Fraser — who will speak on a panel at VERGE in October — is still optimistic the fund will have a catalytic impact on the removal industry. “Let’s say we only got 50 percent of the money back,” he said. “It’s still going significantly further than if we do a one-and-done purchase and that’s the end of the road.”

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GSK has committed to reducing more emissions faster than any other large pharmaceutical company. 

Now it has five years left to deliver.

By 2030, the London-based pharmaceutical company has promised to slash direct and indirect greenhouse gas emissions by 80 percent, relative to a 2020 baseline. It did so even though it has the industry’s highest emissions intensity, as measured by metric tons of emissions per dollar of revenue

So far, it is not on track to meet its goals. By 2023, the last year for which it published full data, GSK’s emissions had fallen 12 percent — half the pace it needs to reach its 2030 target. 

Source: GSK Responsible Business Performance Report 2024, ESG Performance Report 2023

But the numbers do not tell the whole story. This profile in the Chasing Net Zero series — our company-by-company look at progress toward 2030 climate goals that kicked off with Nestlé and IKEA’s biggest retailer — reveals that GSK’s decarbonization plan includes two initiatives that, if successful, would lead to dramatic emissions cuts. 

One is common to almost all large companies: GSK is working with industry groups to convince pharma suppliers to reduce the emissions of their products. The news here is mixed: Ingredient manufacturers, many of which are in China and India, have started to engage, but actual emissions reductions have been slow to appear.

The other initiative is a sector-specific project that promises tantalizing results. If GSK can obtain regulatory approval and widespread adoption of a new version of its flagship Ventolin asthma inhaler, it would at a stroke eliminate close to half of its emissions.

GSK declined to make any executives available for this article, but in a recent podcast, Giulia Usai, GSK’s senior director for procurement sustainability, acknowledged the challenge of the 2030 deadline.

“We have less than 60 months to our target; that’s nothing,” she said. “It gives us all anxiety, but at the same time, it helps us prioritize the actions that will give us quicker results.”

The commitment: A big promise from a company in transition

Since taking over as chief executive in 2017, Emma Walmsley has faced relentless criticism from investors complaining that GSK lacks the lucrative pipeline needed to replace products losing patent protection. During Walmsley’s term, the company has fallen from seventh in the industry by revenue to 12th, in part because she spun out consumer businesses in 2022 to focus on lines with higher potential, including vaccines and treatments for respiratory diseases, HIV and cancer.

Despite these struggles, Walmsley has made unusually aggressive climate and nature commitments: 

  • Reducing GSK’s Scope 1, 2 and 3 emissions — which totaled 11 million tons of carbon dioxide equivalent in 2020 — by 80 percent by 2030. (The company excluded Scope 3 categories representing 2 percent of its 2020 emissions from its goals.)
  • Becoming carbon neutral by 2030 by using carbon credits to offset the remaining 20 percent of its emissions. 
  • Reducing its emissions by 90 percent from 2020 levels by 2045, a net-zero commitment validated by the Science Based Targets initiative (SBTi). 
Source: GSK ESG Performance Report 2023

“They really understand the interconnections between health, climate and nature,” said Amy Booth, a University of Oxford researcher studying sustainability in the pharmaceutical industry. She praised GSK’s early commitment to transparency and to address its impact on biodiversity. (The company was the first to publish disclosures in line with Taskforce for Nature-related Financial Disclosures standards.)

“They are one of the better companies at reporting data,” she said. “They report extensively across Scopes 1, 2 and 3, and provide pages of methodology backing up their data.”

The context: Pharma companies are engaged 

GSK is not alone in its industry in setting ambitious climate goals. 

Eighteen of the top 20 publicly traded pharma companies have had near-term commitments validated by the SBTi. Several say they will eliminate nearly all of their Scope 1 and 2 emissions — those from company facilities and from purchased electricity, respectively — before 2030, largely by shifting to renewable electricity sources.

Eight of the top 20 also have long-term SBTi commitments. Seven are based in Europe, where drugmakers face pressure to reduce their climate impact from national health systems and European Union regulations that apply to all large companies.

More than 90 percent of most pharma companies’ emissions lie in value chains, with the largest component of these Scope 3 emissions coming from the raw ingredients in their products. Transportation can also be a significant source of emissions because many drugs require refrigeration, sometimes at very low temperatures.

Here GSK stands out: Its 80-percent Scope 3 commitment is the largest in the industry. The industry’s next highest Scope 3 goal is AstraZeneca’s, GSK’s larger British rival, which has promised a 50-percent reduction by 2030.

Source: Company reports
Source: Trellis analysis of company reports

Scopes 1 and 2: Rapid shift to renewable energy

While Scopes 1 and 2 represent a small fraction of GSK’s overall carbon footprint, the company has made the largest reductions so far in this area, mainly by investing in renewable energy. It is increasingly purchasing electricity from renewable sources. And it’s replacing some of its on-site generators that burn fossil fuels with wind and solar generation systems. 

Source: GSK Responsible Business Performance Report 2024, ESG Performance Report 2023

Last year, for example, GSK activated two wind turbines and a 56-acre solar farm at its plant in Irvine, Scotland. The plant produces a majority of the world’s supply of the antibiotic Augmentin, which is made using an energy-intensive fermentation process. With the new capacity, more than half of the facility’s energy will come from its on-site wind and solar generation.

In addition, the company has made progress in improving the efficiency of its manufacturing processes, especially by reducing the gas leakage during inhaler manufacturing.

Scope 3: Reengineering a problematic product

Source: GSK Responsible Business Performance Report 2024, ESG Performance Report 2023. GSK’s scope 3 reduction targets exclude emissions related to its purchase of capital goods (buildings and equipment) and its investments (partial stakes in some biotech companies and investments in venture capital funds). The excluded categories represent 2 percent of the company’s 2020 emissions.

GSK is the world’s leading maker of drugs to treat asthma and other respiratory diseases, propelled by the success of Ventolin, which it introduced in 1968. Even though GSK’s patents have expired and generics are available, 35 million patients worldwide used the company’s version in 2024, accounting for sales of almost $890 million, 2 percent of GSK’s revenue.

A puff from Ventolin’s ubiquitous L-shaped inhaler offers immediate relief from asthma symptoms. Unfortunately, each puff is also powered by R-134a, a gas that traps 1,400 times more heat than CO2. GSK plans to switch to a chemical known as HFA 152a, made by Orbia, the large Mexican company. The new propellant cuts carbon emissions by 90 percent. 

It’s not as simple as substituting one gas for another, however. The drug formula and the inhaler mechanism need to be adjusted to work with the new propellant. The revised product is now in phase III clinical trials, and GSK hopes to submit the results for regulatory approval next year. HFA 152a is also highly flammable and has to be manufactured with elaborate safety precautions. GSK has started building new production lines for low-carbon Ventolin at its factory in Evreux, France.

“In the medicines sector, changing a product is costly, challenging and not guaranteed,” said Claire Lund, GSK’s vice president of environmental sustainability, on a recent podcast. “We have to work with multiple regulators in multiple countries, and we have to set up a global supply chain.”

Will GSK be able to accomplish the biggest item on its decarbonization checklist? While the results from the clinical trials are not yet available, there is evidence that the new class of propellants can be effective. Last month, British regulators approved a low-carbon version of AstraZenica’s Trixeo inhaler that used a similar propellant. 

Scope 3: Coaxing suppliers

The prospects are harder to assess for GSK’s other major Scope 3 challenge: reducing the emissions embedded in the products it buys, especially the raw ingredients for drugs. These made up 30 percent of the company’s emissions in 2020. With just a 9-percent cut since 2020, progress is well short of the pace needed for an 80-percent reduction by 2030.

In 2021, GSK and six other drug companies formed Energize, an effort to help suppliers reduce their energy consumption. “It took a lot of blood, sweat and tears” to negotiate the legal agreements between rival companies, Usai said. Still, she concluded that “it’s going to be much more impactful to approach our suppliers as a group, as opposed to doing it on our own.”

Last September, for example, Energize negotiated a deal for five industry suppliers and three pharmaceutical companies to buy 560 GWh of renewable energy a year from seven new solar projects in Spain. 

“Energize has gone above and beyond just telling suppliers to do stuff,” observes Booth, the Oxford researcher. “They are actually supporting them to get access to renewable energy.”

Another component of the goods and services challenge — getting suppliers to rethink how they manufacture products — has proven tougher than expected.

“However big and complicated you think the challenge is, it is probably even bigger and even more complicated,” the company wrote in a 2022 report on its climate efforts

For example, GSK discovered the most significant emission sources for some suppliers were solvents, which are energy-intensive to produce and release volatile organic compounds that break down into greenhouse gases. GSK must now reach out to the makers of these solvents to encourage new, lower-emission production techniques.

“Green chemistry has a long time horizon,” observed David Linich, a sustainability partner at PwC. “Many pharmaceutical companies have started exploring green alternatives that have a lower environmental impact than traditional methods, but if you are starting the R&D now, you may not see the benefit for decades.”

It’s also not clear that all suppliers are eager to rework operations so that pharmaceutical companies can report lower Scope 3 emissions. After all, many of them are in countries such as China and India, where they are under less government pressure to cut emissions than they are in Europe. Growing international trade tensions may further discourage cooperation.

“You would think that Big Pharma has a lot of power to tell suppliers what to do, but it’s actually almost the opposite,” Booth said. “There may only be a niche supplier of an active pharmaceutical ingredient, and they can say we don’t need to sell to you because we have other customers.”  

Big pharma companies also have massive, complex supply chains around the world, she said. “Their suppliers are often in countries that don’t have strict environmental regulations. And even if they want to take action, there may not be ready sources of renewable energy.”

Toward 2030: Getting numbers on the board

All this diligent effort doesn’t erase a cold fact: GSK promised to eliminate 8.5 million metric tons of emissions over the 10 years ending in 2030 and, during the first three years of that period, it shaved its emissions by just 1.2 million tons. (The company reported an additional cut of 0.5 million tons in 2024 from Scopes 1 and 2, plus some Scope 3 categories, but won’t release its full 2024 numbers until next year.)

If GSK can replace all of its Ventolin inhalers with its newer model, the company would wipe out another 4.1 million tons, leaving around 2.7 million remaining. To meet its target, GSK would need to reduce its supplier emissions and the other smaller Scope 3 categories by 50 percent. 

There’s little in the results GSK has published so far or in the moves of its competitors to suggest that emissions reductions of this magnitude are possible over the next five years. A “Pathway to Net Zero” graph that GSK published earlier this year shows a slow reduction in emissions through 2026, followed by a drop so steep it would make a hardened roller coaster fan scream. The company declined to answer repeated requests to explain its thinking.

If GSK misses its target, it’s worth remembering the company set itself a bigger challenge than many of its peers. Companies that bet big on sustainability often get criticized for falling short. In this case, that may simply mean falling in line.

GSK, however, is not pleading for more time, at least not yet. In podcast interviews, GSK officials have suggested they initially put more emphasis on laying the groundwork for their reductions than finding savings that would appear in their published disclosures. As the deadline nears, they have a renewed focus on accomplishments they can boast about.

“We know that the projects like Energize are producing real savings,” Usai said. “Now is the time for us to show the benefits of what we’ve been doing to the world.”

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When Keen Footwear phased out “forever chemicals” seven years ago, it was well ahead of bans that took hold this January in California and New York, as well as France and Denmark.

As new regulations drive global apparel and outdoor gear brands to rid supply chains of toxic water-proofing substances, Keen continues to share its detoxification tips with peers. And in May, the company released a short YouTube film (featuring actor Mark Ruffalo) to educate consumers about the PFAS chemicals, such as the per- and poly-fluoroalkyl substances linked to cancers, developmental delays and numerous diseases.

These “forever chemicals” can’t be destroyed nearly as easily as they spread to most landscapes and human bodies since emerging in the 1940s from the Manhattan Project.

Now, as Keen continues testing to prevent traces of PFAS from slipping back into sandals and hiking boots, it’s also trying to eliminate other harmful chemicals that pervade everyday products — toxic solvents. The Portland, Oregon, company ultimately wants all of its footwear to be free of the nastiest industrial chemicals.

Keen led the way on PFAS, according to Arlene Blum, executive director of the Green Science Policy Institute. In 2013, the Berkeley, California, nonprofit defined six classes of chemicals of concern that infiltrate consumer products worldwide. “I can’t say enough good things about Keen, but now everybody’s going to have to do it.”

“We didn’t want to keep this a secret, even if it could be seen as a competitive advantage,” said Lauren Hood, Keen’s senior sustainability manager, of its campaign against the chemicals. “We really wanted to bring the industry with us, because we’re not a huge brand, and so we don’t have as much impact on PFAS as the bigger brands.”

How Keen got rid of forever chemicals

Although some fashion businesses are scrambling to satisfy PFAS bans, others succeeded more than a decade ago, including H&M Group in 2013. Patagonia began in the mid-2010s and completed the work this spring. Like those other privately owned brands, Keen acted relatively quickly, according to Blum. It achieved zero PFAS in 2018 after four years of effort.

Early action on PFAS helped Keen build trust among both consumers and its industry, even if a direct impact on sales is unclear, Hood said.

With an estimated $341.9 million in annual revenue and about 1,000 employees, Keen has unusual control over manufacturing, much of which it owns in Kentucky, the Dominican Republic and Thailand.

Since 2014, the brand has invested 11,000 work hours and more than $1 million on its “Detox the Planet” initiative. That included building a chemicals management policy with a restricted substances list (RSL) targeting the six chemical classes: PFAS, certain flame retardants, hormone-disrupting plasticizers, antimicrobials, harmful solvents and certain metals.

In tests, Keen found PFAS in more than 100 parts of its shoes. The stuff wasn’t just in the water-resistant upper textiles, but also unnecessarily in plastic trim pieces and bottom components. Trimming that excess eliminated nearly 70 percent of Keen’s forever chemicals, according to the company.

Keen’s waterproof styles now use other durable water repellents free of PFAS. The chemicals, made by Rudolf and 3M (a longtime PFAS producer with plans to stop by 2026), don’t include sibling versions of PFAS. Some brands used other fluorinated chemicals, but the substitutes turned out to be just as harmful.

Although Keen does not detail its formulations, such alternatives typically use silicone, hydrocarbon or other polymer-based ingredients. The company hasn’t suffered major quality or affordability tradeoffs from the chemical swaps, according to Hood. 

However, PFAS can still pop up in product testing. One culprit, for instance, can be the nonstick molds that suppliers use to cast shoe components.

“We’re trying to test as much as we can, because it’s definitely not a one-and-done situation,” Hood said. “You have to stay on top of it.”

New test methods detect minute traces of PFAS that previously would have gone undetected, which keeps companies on their toes, according to Nathaniel Sponsler, group director of AFIRM Group, an industry initiative that publishes a guide for tackling PFAS. (Based in Northern California, AFIRM stands for Apparel and Footwear International RSL Management.)

“Strict chemical restrictions directly undermine other major sustainability policy priorities such as textile recycling and product durability,” Sponsler said. “As circular economy and product durability policy frameworks take shape in various markets, I expect chemical restrictions — PFAS in particular — to cause more problems and ultimately compete with these other critical priorities.”

Chemicals, design and circularity

“The industry should be trying to reduce or minimize the use of all harmful chemicals,” said Avinash Kar, senior director of NRDC’s Toxics Campaign. “They should be asking themselves if there are safer alternatives and if the functionality produced by the chemicals is necessary for the product to perform its core function.” 

As for all six classes of harmful chemicals, in 2018 Keen phased out PFAS as well as anti-stink antimicrobials and plasticizing bisphenols and phthalates. Heavy metals were gone in 2015. The company was free of certain flame retardants at its founding in 2003.

The last frontier is solvents. Unlike PFAS, solvents remain relatively under the regulatory radar despite being connected with cancers, reproductive harm and organ damage.

“Solvents are indeed the most challenging of the six classes as they are necessary for many steps in manufacturing,” Blum said.

By the end of this year, Keen seeks to be 20 percent free of problematic solvents, commonly found in the glues that hold shoes together, as well as in cleaners, inks and coatings. By 2030, the company seeks to abandon such solvents altogether.

One strategy is glue-free shoe construction, a technology called Keen Fusion, which applies heat and pressure to fuse the outsole of a shoe to its upper part. That solid bond also prevents shoes from coming apart at the sole’s edges. In addition, Keen has tweaked footwear designs to sidestep the need for water-resistant chemicals, such as an internal booty that keeps feet dry.

“Keen is very focused on durability,” Hood said, “making sure our products live the longest life they can and have multiple owners and stay a shoe for as long as they can be a shoe.”

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Kenvue, the consumer goods company behind brands including Tylenol, Neutrogena and Listerine, is training its 1,800-person research and development workforce to include environmental metrics in their innovation process.

The move follows an internal trial of Kenvue’s patent-pending product assessment tool, the Sustainable Innovation Profiler. R&D teams, product formulators and packaging engineers can use the tool to evaluate a product’s environmental and emissions footprints, green chemistry credentials and packaging makeup. The rollout will continue amid a strategic review of the company, launched after the ouster of its CEO in mid-July.

The Sustainable Innovation Profiler was used to evaluate the impact of reformulations and packaging redesigns for 20 Kenvue product lines during 2024, including OGX Argan Oil of Morocco shampoo and Nicorette lozenges. While the individual results for those products were unique, the profiler documented carbon footprint reductions of at least 16 percent for both. 

The evaluation results convinced Kenvue to introduce the tool into its product-design process from the beginning, said Jennifer Duran, global head of sustainability. “With the Sustainable Innovation Profiler, we’re really modeling the sustainability impacts of the different development designs that we’re making,” Duran said.

Image showing tool used to assess sustainability metrics.
Kenvue’s Sustainable Innovation Profiler considers potential design impacts in four environmental categories. Source: Kenvue

Strategy shift

The decision to embed sustainability metrics more deeply into product development dovetails with a restructuring that saw Duran promoted to group head of sustainability in June after focusing on product resilience and sustainability. She reports to Kenvue’s chief scientific officer, with dotted lines to the operations and corporate affairs teams.

The Sustainable Innovation Profiler supports Kenvue’s goal, adopted in May 2024, to screen 75 percent of the company’s new product development projects for improved environmental performance by 2030. It could apply to anything from a straightforward packaging overhaul to a complete product reformulation, Duran said.

So far, 600 product designers and packaging engineers have completed online training to use the resource. Anyone can take the course, but for certain design roles and groups it’s mandatory. “These are the people making decisions about the recipes of our products,” Duran said.

Overarching design principles

The Sustainable Innovation Profiler builds on life-cycle assessment approaches used by the European Commission’s Product Environment Footprint and the Global Aquatic Ingredient Assessment. It studies four categories of environmental metrics:

  • Environmental footprint, including water, land and resource use; whether the product disrupts the nutrients in marine or fresh water (which can cause algae blooms); and ecotoxicity
  • Carbon footprint, measured by greenhouse gas emissions
  • Green chemistry, such as the use of ingredients with improved biodegradability
  • Packaging circularity that reduces virgin plastic use

Designers compared scores for each category against a baseline to identify areas of potential improved environmental performance. The tool flags ingredients Kenvue has on its internal watch list, which includes information about restricted substances and materials, and newer options that aren’t widely adopted. It also looks for “hotspots” related to 40 chemical ingredients that carry the highest carbon emissions. 

The Argan shampoo considered in the trial earned better scores across all four categories of the profiler by replacing the surfactant, reducing the use of silicone and polymers and using a bottle made out of recycled plastic.

The data used in the profiler comes from Kenvue’s own product life-cycle assessments and existing databases maintained by respected industry associations. Over time, the company will add information contributed directly by suppliers. Kenvue’s sustainability team is collaborating with the company’s new chief data officer to develop processes for collecting this information in Kenvue’s broader enterprise information management systems.

“The advantage of being a two-year-old company in this pretty mature sustainability space is we can learn from some of the mistakes others have made,” Duran said. (Kenvue, a former division of Johnson & Johnson, became a publicly traded independent company in 2023.) “If we start ingesting primary carbon data, we need to have a place to put it.”

The weighting for each category considered by the Sustainable Innovation Profiler remains the same across different product lines. Kenvue intends to publish more information about the methodology as it becomes more widely used across the company. It also plans to report progress against its sustainable product innovation goal in its next sustainability report, to be published in 2026.

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There’s a growing appetite across the food industry for dried seaweed. No, it’s not to satisfy a trendy diet craze. Rather, it’s a solution to tackle methane pollution from agriculture.

Chipotle, Mars, Danone and Clover Sonoma are among the market-leading companies investing in varieties of seaweed-based feed additives to cut the amount of methane produced by cattle. 

Methane pollution from agriculture needs to fall by 30 percent over the next five years to avoid worsening impacts of planet warming, which have already decimated agricultural outputs. Last year alone, droughts, hurricanes and other extreme weather events cost U.S. farmers and ranchers over $20 billion in damage to crop and rangelands.  

But the industry’s methane-reducing challenge is twofold: known techniques can only get us around halfway there, and existing technologies such as feed additives are expensive. To make up for the gap and lower the cost, the industry will have to create new ways to raise livestock to ensure the viability of farms and farmers’ livelihoods — and the supply chain they feed into. 

At the same time, food companies will have to identify, incorporate and develop more plant-based or alternative proteins to reach their methane goals and protect the industry’s long-term value.

That’s where methane innovation comes in. Scaling financial support for research and advancing remedies for taming methane can open the barn door to enhancing operational efficiency, expanding market reach and gaining a competitive advantage by introducing cutting-edge food and agricultural products. 

Major players across the industry have caught on to these possibilities. From dairy giants to meat traders, companies are taking three important steps to capitalize on slashing methane. 

Fund research and pilot projects

Across industry and research communities, innovators are exploring pathways to stem methane pollution from livestock. Adding seaweed or other plant-based and synthetic supplements such as Bovear — recently approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration — to cow diets is a near-term option, while vaccinations and genetically breeding animals that emit less of the pollutant are potentials down the line. Companies can play a key role in fast tracking these approaches to curb methane by funding related research and launching pilot projects. 

Nestlé, for example, is researching ways to address livestock emissions — the company’s single largest emissions driver — through its Institute of Agricultural Sciences, which is exploring methane-inhibiting feed additives and animal waste management. The institute also works closely with farmers, universities, research organizations and industry partners to test solutions before deploying them on farms in Nestlé’s larger supply chain.

Invest in the startup ecosystem

Another path for food companies to leverage innovation is by investing in promising, up-and-coming methane technologies. Not only can companies cash in if the products are successful, but the investments are crucial to helping startups overcome initial business challenges such as brand awareness and proof of concept.

Dairy giant Organic Valley, for example, has set up the Farmers Advocating for Organics program, in which dairy farmers can invest in projects aimed at developing long-term methane solutions. In 2023, the program awarded Hawaiian startup Symbrosia a grant to test the viability of a seaweed-based feed additive that could significantly curtail how much methane cattle churn out. The grant funded a six-month pilot project on several of Organic Valley’s member farms to evaluate the impact of feeding cows the product before considering it for wider expansion.

Participate in public-private partnerships

As we’ve mentioned before, food companies will have to work together to drive down methane pollution from livestock. By creating partnerships with other companies and governmental entities, the industry can work together to boost their individual innovation efforts, pooling resources and sharing lessons learned. 

The Foundation for Food & Agriculture Research’s Greener Cattle Initiative provides a good illustration of such a partnership. It’s a consortium of organizations and companies that shares knowledge, sparks investments and accelerates research for mitigating methane emissions from cattle on topics such as the cattle microbiome, methane inhibitors and breeding practices. Beyond these steps to trim methane from livestock, food companies can also pioneer alternative protein products to offer consumers. Hershey, for example, replaced milk solids with roasted grain flour in a dairy-free chocolate, and Bunge sells a lineup of plant proteins that can be used in meat products and as meat alternatives. 

With so many opportunities, the race is on to uncover methane busters that will make agriculture more resilient. Food companies can set the pace while unlocking the biggest bang for their methane buck by plowing forward with business strategies to fund innovation and support farmers and industry adoption.

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Google’s ambitious plans to power its data centers directly with low-carbon electricity now includes hydropower, a power generation resource that’s still eligible for tax incentives under the Trump administration’s new budget law.

The tech company will initially spend $3 billion under a unique arrangement announced July 15 with energy developer Brookfield Renewable. In return, Brookfield will supply Google with up to 3 gigawatts of hydro generating capacity in the U.S.

Google’s financial support will enable Brookfield to update and relicense existing hydro facilities. The first two hydro plants covered under the deal are in Pennsylvania on the lower Susquehanna River: Holtwood, the oldest of three dams built around 1905 and 1910; and Safe Harbor, constructed in the 1930s and featuring fish lifts that aid upriver migration.

Google will invest $25 billion by 2027 on a data center expansion in the mid-Atlantic region, where the plants are located and run by the PJM transmission organization. The tech company has signed a 20-year power purchase agreement for each of these facilities, covering 670 megawatts in capacity.

Brookfield and Google will also evaluate hydro plants in the central U.S., covered by the Midcontinent Independent System Operator.

Some big technology companies, such as IBM, discuss hydro as an important piece of their renewable electricity portfolios, but the Google-Brookfield deal is the first publicly declared corporate procurement centered on this generating source.

Google declined to provide more details on its evolving hydro strategy, and Brookfield did not respond to requests for comment.

Fresh look at hydropower

More large corporations are re-evaluating hydropower as part of the portfolio of options required to reduce emissions from purchased energy, or Scope 2. “It’s attractive, cheap, consistent power,” said Gregory Lavigne Jr., partner in the energy, project finance and infrastructure practice at corporate law firm Sidley. 

New greenfield hydro projects are unlikely in the U.S. but more companies are looking to expansions of existing projects as a source of clean baseload power, said Rick Powell, CEO of the Clean Energy Buyers Association. “Most of the hydro capacity has already been tapped, but there is potential for upgrades and relicensing,” he said.

Hydropower is the largest global source of renewable electricity, and likely to remain so through 2030 until solar and wind catch up, according to the International Energy Association. The U.S. is the third-largest producer of hydroelectricity, after China and Brazil, with at least half of its capacity concentrated in the west, particularly Washington, California and Oregon. In 2023, hydroelectricity contributed about 6 percent of all U.S. utility-scale generation, or about 240 billion kilowatt-hours. 

Hydropower is a controversial renewable energy source, because of the impact dams have on local habitats and communities, especially in periods of drought. Despite those reservations, the Inflation Reduction Act created tax incentives for new generation sources such as pumped storage, incremental conventional hydropower and marine and hydrokinetic technologies. Those incentives were among those spared in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act: they’re intact until 2033.

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The latest sustainability report from Mars, the private company that sold more than $50 billion worth of snacks and pet food in 2024, paints a picture of an organization on track to hit its science-based 2030 target — but with little room to spare. Here are three takeaways for other businesses from the report.

Emissions only recently started tracking to net zero

Mars set a total emissions target in 2017, started working toward the goal immediately and had its plans validated by the Science Based Targets initiative in 2023. But it took several years for that effort to show up in the numbers. By 2021, emissions had fallen just 6 percent below its 2015 baseline, leaving the company well off pace on 2030 targets of a 63 percent cut in Scopes 1 and 2, alongside a 42 percent drop in Scope 3.

That’s because Mars, based in McLean, Virginia, had to start by working with suppliers — Scope 3 is 96 percent of the company’s current footprint — to reduce deforestation, as well as changing pet food recipes and increasing use of renewables in its direct operations, said Kevin Rabinovich, Mars’ global vice president for sustainability and chief climate officer. 

That work is now bearing fruit: the company emitted around 29 million tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (tCO2e) in 2024, a drop of 16 percent since 2015. The progress has been achieved during a period of solid sales growth.

Source: Mars 2024 Sustainable in a Generation Report.

Mars will at least land close to its 2030 target if it can maintain its recent rate of reductions. Rabinovich said the focus going forward will be on encouraging climate-smart agriculture and use of renewables by suppliers, together with continued work on deforestation. Each of those three pillars will drive around 10 percent cuts on 2015 levels by 2030, he added.

Mars will use land-based removals to hit its 2030 target

Regenerative agriculture can do more than cut on-farm emissions: Producers that integrate forestry with agriculture and use low-till practices can also help draw down CO2. In 2024, Mars deducted close to 42,000 tCO2e from its Scope 3 total to account for land-based removals it helped suppliers to implement.

That’s a sliver of the total for the year, but it’s set to grow. “The full potential is probably on the order of 10 or 15 percent of our footprint,” said Rabinovich. By 2030, that would equate to 1-2 million tCO2e annually.

Mars is not alone in planning to lean on removals to hit targets. Nestlé’s net-zero roadmap, for example, sees the company subtracting 13 million tCO2e of removals from its Scope 3 inventory in 2030

Advocates for the strategy argue that removals are an essential component of future net-zero strategies and that working with suppliers leads to more robust changes than investing in carbon credits from outside a company’s value chain. But critics counter that land-based removals are relatively easy to reverse and should not be netted against emissions to the atmosphere, some of which are essentially permanent.

Mars guards against the re-release of land-based carbon by placing 50 percent of the removals it generates in what’s known as a “buffer pool.” The removals are quantified, but rather than being subtracted from the annual total are held as insurance in case future reversals, say by wildfire, need to be accounted for.

Longer-term, added Rabinovich, that objection will become less important because emissions will increasingly be tracked on a granular level at global scales. “The idea that you’re going to stop monitoring the farm and something bad is going to happen that’s not going to get accounted for — if that’s the system we’re expecting for in the future, we’re not going to solve these problems,” he said. “There can’t be large amounts of emissions that aren’t somehow being either voluntarily or regulatory managed.”

Weak consumer demand nixed carbon-neutral product lines

Last year saw the end of carbon-neutral claims on the packaging for Mars Bars in the UK, Ireland and Canada, as well as kitten and puppy growth products in the company’s Royal Canin line. Plans for carbon-neutral status had been announced in 2021.

“The thought was if that was a more marketable claim that would resonate with consumers and drive incremental sales, the revenues could then fund the cost of the required carbon credits,” said Rabinovich. In practice, the consumer demand didn’t materialize and the program “basically wasn’t self-funding,” he added.

Rabinovich said that the company does not have a full understanding of why the claims did not drive more demand, but noted “a much discussed and well researched attitude and behavior gap in sustainability.” Asked about climate, recycling and other environmental issues, consumers say they care. “But then you go look at actual purchasing data and behavior of consumers in stores, and it really doesn’t translate.”

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Microsoft’s history of dominating the market for carbon removal continued when the tech giant announced late last week it was buying 4.9 million tons of removal credits from Vaulted Deep, a startup that buries organic waste underground. Here’s what prospective buyers and other carbon credit players need to know about the deal.

It’s not all about human waste

The Wall Street Journal described the deal thus: “Microsoft wants your poop to lower its emissions.” 

That’s not quite right, according to Vaulted co-founder and CEO Julia Reichelstein. The startup takes multiple different types of organic waste, including manure and sludge from paper mills, and injects it hundreds or thousands of feet below the ground. This “bioslurry” contains carbon that was removed from the atmosphere by plants before being eaten by animals or used in paper processing, making the process carbon negative.

But, yes, excrement is involved. Vaulted’s bioslurry injection technology was originally developed as means of disposing of waste from a water treatment plant in Los Angeles, and human fecal matter will be an important input going forward.

Will the credits deliver real climate value?

One of the biggest problems in carbon markets is proving “additionality’ — knowing that credit revenue is essential to making a project work. Some forest conservation schemes, for example, have been criticized for selling carbon credits to protect forests that were really not at risk. 

Vaulted’s process is clearly additional, said Reichelstein, because the vast majority of the organic waste it’s targeting in the U.S. is spread on land, incinerated or sent to landfill, releasing carbon dioxide and methane in the process. Without a commercial incentive or regulatory requirement to do otherwise, credit revenues are needed to fund the removal.

Buyers will want that and other claims — including guarantees that the carbon will not seep back into the atmosphere — to be verified by an independent third party. At present, none of the carbon credit rating agencies have assessed Vaulted’s projects. But the startup does have important proof points. It follows a methodology developed by Isometric, a credit registry with a reputation for thoroughness. Microsoft is also known for doing extensive due diligence on prospective sellers, as is Frontier, a coalition of removal buyers that purchased a total of slightly more than 150,000 credits from Vaulted in 2023 and 2024.

“Having them do months and months and months of diligence on us and deciding to purchase from us is good industry validation,” argued Reichelstein.

What you can expect to pay for a Vaulted credit

The cost of the Microsoft deal was not disclosed, but Frontier paid $58 million for its credits, putting the per-ton price just over $380. For comparison, other recent deals involving “durable” removal — defined as locking away carbon for hundreds or thousands of years — include direct air capture, which costs $500 per ton or more, biomass electricity generation with carbon capture ($350/t) and carbon capture at pulp and paper plants (less than $200/t).

Prices of all these credit types are expected to fall, however. Frontier is willing to pay high prices to back emerging technologies, but the coalition only backs projects that can demonstrate a plausible path to reducing costs to less than $100/t. Reichelstein said she expected Vaulted’s costs to come “dramatically down” and to be competitive with other methods for storing biomass.

Where buyers can find Vaulted credits

Vaulted’s operations are relatively small scale at present: The company has generated 18,000 credits from a facility in Hutchinson, Kansas, that has been operating since August 2023. Thanks to the deals with Frontier and Microsoft, it’s now scouting other sites to fulfill those contracts and bring more credits to market. Vaulted is already developing a site in Monarch Fields, Colorado, and has applied for permits to develop a facility at an undisclosed location on the East Coast, said Reichelstein.

The challenge is in part about finding sites that are close enough to bioslurry sources for the process to make economic sense. The supply of waste itself shouldn’t be an issue: Reichelstein said the U.S. produces around 1 billion tons of “unused or unusable” organic waste annually, enough to generate hundreds of millions of tons of removal credits.

Companies interested in purchasing credits can explore offtake agreements like the one signed by Microsoft or purchase in smaller amounts direct from the Vaulted Deep website.

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The opinions expressed here by Trellis expert contributors are their own, not those of Trellis.​

The Global South — home to most of the world’s population — is where most of the planet’s economic growth and greenhouse gas emission growth is taking place. In the runup to COP30 in Brazil later this year, we explore how a sample of these economies are shaping climate financing.

Kenya is known as the Pride of Africa, thanks to its wildlife tourism, successful marathoners and bustling economy. And when it comes to climate financing, that moniker also rings true due to a clean electric grid and thriving climate innovation culture.

While the average electricity access for East Africa hovers around 56 percent, electricity access is at 90 percent in Kenya, with 20 percent of households using solar mini grids or standalone renewable energy systems for their electricity needs.

Thanks to leveraging geothermal resources and growing solar and wind capacity, Kenya’s grid is 90 percent clean. The government of Kenya has set a goal to reach 100 percent renewable energy generation by 2030. This goal makes Kenya stand out as a gem to locate low-carbon manufacturing, attracting companies such as Enda running shoes and East African Cables.

The major challenge in transforming Kenya’s electricity system to support massive clean manufacturing and livelihoods is increasing the reliability and capacity of the grid. The government has set a goal to expand grid capacity to 100 GW – up from its current 3.3 GW – by 2040, which could require an estimated $40 billion in investment. Last year, new regulations opened up access to private companies to invest and run transmission and distribution networks. Like in the case of Indonesia, expanding and reinforcing the capacity of the grid could be an attractive investment for both local and global investors.

A new wave for land use and food systems

The land use side of the climate equation– where climate investors and corporations often look to invest — hasn’t progressed as quickly as the energy side of Kenya: over 75 percent of Kenyan soil is degraded and forest cover remains low.

Goals to improve both exist, with the goal of a minimum forest cover of 10 percent by 2030 and strategies for agroecology that centers community-driven innovation. This is critical, as Kenya is home to a number of commodity industries and food crops that are important in global trade, including cut flowers, avocados, coffee and black tea, for which Kenya is the world’s largest exporter.

Land use thus presents opportunities to align with agroecology and regenerative principles. Special credit providers in East Africa such as SHONA Capital are increasingly supporting climate-friendly food systems’ small and medium-sized enterprises.

An investor-friendly environment for climate mitigation

There’s a plethora of climate action opportunities for retail and institutional investors in Kenya. Credit unions, known as Savings and Credit Co-operative Societies (SACCOs), are increasingly providing loans for climate-friendly activities, such as solar energy for rural customers. Reform is underway to insure SACCO deposits, which could further attract retail capital. Some SACCOs even specialize in attracting diasporic capital, tapping into the approximately 3 million Kenyans who live overseas. The diaspora can be thought of even wider than that if one includes the 350 million Afro-descendent people living outside of the African continent.

A number of incentives exist to attract investment across Kenya’s sustainable development goals, including climate action. Export processing zones provide a 10-year corporate tax holiday and exemptions on import duties and VAT for export-oriented firms; special economic zones allow investors tax holidays of up to 10 years, duty-free capital imports, and simplified licensing.

Looking ahead

Kenya is arguably the tech capital of East Africa. Nairobi is home to many startup incubators, accelerators, venture studios and venture capital funds, including those dedicated to pursuing sustainability and climate action. Foreign and domestic firms including Persistent Energy, Melanin Kapital and DRK Foundation have chosen Nairobi as regional headquarters for such activity.

Agriculture fintech providers such as Apollo Agriculture have enabled smallholder farmers to improve land productivity outcomes through instant credit. Pay-as-you-go solar providers, such as Kenya-founded M-KOPA, have helped unlock the solar market in Kenya and many other African countries. Motorcycles are increasingly electric and companies such as BasiGo are expanding electric bus networks along with charging stations along key routes.

Fixing high-emission landfills is another climate investment opportunity. Kenya hosts the largest landfill in East Africa of Dandora. Converting this landfill into a waste-to-energy operation, for example, would be a useful public-private partnership.

The opportunities for multinational and local investors to take action by leveraging Kenya’s unique climate position are abundant. Whether through sustainable bond issuances, the stock market or bank and credit union products, investors would be remiss to overlook Kenya.

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